three weeks in a row, same simple breakout setup on SPY options, three green weeks. and my brain did what every brain does, decided this wasn't luck, this was skill. I'd found the pattern. I'd cracked it. started sizing up because obviously I'd figured out the market.
week four. same exact setup. same conviction. I even felt more sure than the first three times. opposite result completely. the whole thing fell apart in one Tuesday session and gave back three weeks of gains before lunch.
turns out the "pattern" was just a calm, forgiving market being nice to everyone for a little stretch. wasn't me. was never me. the second conditions shifted, my genius system revealed itself to be a coin that had landed heads three times.
still ran the setup the next week out of stubbornness. don't ask how that went